NY24 (All): RV R+4; LV R+7.5
NY26 (Niagara Portion): RV D+11; LV D+8
AD144 (Niagara Portion): RV Tied; LV R+1.9
AD145 (Niagara Portion): RV D+3; LV R+5.6
Republican Claudia Tenney leads Democrat Alissa Ellman 46% to 38% among likely voters in New York’s 24th Congressional District, and President Trump’s job approval is underwater at 40% approve, 51% disapprove. Tenney is running well behind Trump’s 2024 margin, and with higher turnout the race tightens to 4 points.
In the Niagara County portion of AD144 and AD145, among all registered voters Democrat Nate McMurray leads Republican Becky Wydysh by 3 points and the 144th race sees Democrat Donna Dye Sholk and Republican Paul Bologna tied. When narrowed to likely voters Wydysh leads 46% to 41% in the 145th District, and Bologna edges out Dye Sholk 47% to 45%. Both are within the margin of error, and full results, crosstabs and methodology are available inside.